For discussion sake, let’s take his word that these were just outrageous comments designed to attract listeners … and instead look at his votes and what legislation he has sponsored and what he has not sponsored.
As of this date, Congressman Lewis has sponsored 117 pieces of legislation — everything from Congratulating the MN Lynx to tax relief for craft beer, and NO legislation stands out as relating to women
Women may be interested in what legislation that he has not sponsored … such as …
H.R.1318 – Preventing Maternal Deaths Act of 2017
H.R.2417 – Pregnant Workers Fairness Act
H.R.2745 – Healthy MOM Act
H.R.5006 – Child Tax Credit for Pregnant Moms Act of 2018
And as far as votes go, Congressman Lewis did vote for H.R. 36 Pain-Capable Unborn Child Protection Act (to ban late-term abortions nationwide after 20 weeks).
Voters will have to decide if his words were just for radio fodder or do his votes/legislation support the ideals of the Second District.
BTW … it would be interesting if the radio transcripts were made available for what he said about the Farm bill … ’cause my memory says he would bash farm subsidies.
First, let’s address the PAC impacts based on the decision … tell me if I am wrong … but IMO … this is really insignificant.
Take for example, MN where the American Federation of Government Employees (which as I read the ruling is the effected group since this dealt with government workers) contributed $40,000 in 2016 to congressional candidates. Once again, as I read the ruling employees have to opt-in … even if everyone decided not to contribute, $40k is a pretty small amount. But the employees will still want to voice their concerns to their Reps, so they will still be a force … just that the candidates won’t be expecting to get paid. Union or non-union, these people are still voters.
Second, won’t unions confront members that without a strong union, they will lose pay and benefits ? One study (https://illinoisepi.files.wordpress.com/2018/05/ilepi-pmcr-after-janus-final.pdf ) showed the impact to Minnesota … nobody likes to pay the bill, but once you don’t have representation, you will realize the advantages of a union. The study estimated that Minnesota would still have 155,000 union paying members … the bigger problem is that the MNGOP will continue to put barriers for union membership.
Third, although, the AFL-CIO is optimistic about growing its membership, the number of workers covered by unions has declined dramatically.
Fourth, this really shouldn’t have been a surprise to anyone … remember that the issue was previously heard but Justice Antonin Scalia died before the court could release its opinion, leaving the eight-member court deadlocked 4-4. Did anyone think that Gorsuch would join the dissenters ?
I will close with a positive note … did you see that that a segment of a Boeing plant in South Carolina voted to unionize ?
“Murphy just handed Republicans a stick to beat her with.”
Even if the Republicans don’t brand her with a nickname, they will brand her based on her past statements and issue stands … which will only play to their base. Elections are all about turnout … and this pick can only help Republicans.
Frankly, why did Murphy pick Erin Maye Quade ? I comprehend her political positions, but does she have the experience and political moxie to be Governor if something happened to Murphy ? If her issues are important to her, wouldn’t being an active member of the legislature be a better spot than Lt. Gov ? Even from a practical political standpoint, doesn’t her leaving 57A just benefit the MNGOP candidate — Matt Lundin — after all this was a long time MNGOP seat until Tara Mack had a “parking” problem … remember Maye Quade only won by less than 1,200 votes.
IMO — Murphy made a blunder. Too many Minnesotans don’t know anything about wannabe Governor Murphy to begin with, but she has a good story to tell … but this was the wrong choice … it makes me wonder who else she considered … and if anyone refused.
Thus, the question that needs to be asked :
Is it time to eliminate the Lt. Gov position ?
Are you excited that Donna Bergstrom may be your next LtGuv ?
Let’s ignore the fact that she failed to get the GOP endorsement for 7A in 2014 and failed in a state senate race in 2016 garnering less than 35% of the vote … and focus in on the fact that soon-to-be-Governor Jeff Johnson has named her his choice.
What are the duties of the Lt. Gov. ?
It must be fishing … ’cause at the MNGOP convention, former Governor Tim Pawlenty Lt. Gov Carol Molnau convention video address (played by the Johnson campaign)
“I had a lot of fun with him at the fishing openers. I wish him well, but I’m not looking forward to seeing him in St. Paul.”
Who was the last Lt. Gov. that ever went on to be elected to another office … (remember that Tina Smith was appointed, so ya can’t say her … and it’s too early for Michelle Fischbach as she needs a Pawlenty win this year) … Rudy Perpich is probably the right answer.
I doubt that Maye Quade is gonna add any more votes on the DFL side, but she will motivate Republicans.
Fishchbach or Bergstrom are safe choices … they won’t add any GOP votes but they won’t motivate anyone to go to the polls to vote for the DFL candidate.
For discussion sake, can we postulate that with President Trump vowing to protect gun rights, Congress will take no action in the near term … thus any legislative change must be at the State level.
The next governor — be it Republican or DFLer will have to deal with a legislature … and that may not be on the top of their “to-do” list considering that any change will be branded an infringement on federal rights. (BTW … Currently, Minnesota is one of the few states that do not have a right to keep and bear arms amendment in its state Constitution … although now retired State Representative Tony Cornish did try to get an amendment approved.)
And Tony Cornish definitely made his mark on Minnesota gun rights … it was his efforts in 2003 that got the Conceal-and-Carry law on the books … and as it was Governor Tim Pawlenty on his WCCO-AM radio show that said other states have not experienced more gunplay after making concealed weapons permits easier to get. “The 38 other states that have the (`concealed carry`) law, on a per capita or pro rata basis, are not experiencing any worse incidences of violent crime or gun violence than Minnesota…people will be safer and crime will be deterred.” April 28, 2003
IMO, two factors — Congress letting the Assault Weapons Ban expire in 2004 and the Pawlenty-backed Conceal-and-Carry legislation — fostered an environment that changed views on gun rights.
So, let’s discuss Walz … and recognize his background on a family farm. Ya gotta suspect that guns were prevalent … just as raccoons, possums, skunks and weasels were there … and hunting was for deer meat. Back then the NRA was probably seen in the same light as 4H …. and NRA grants were often provided in equipment with schools providing rifles, ammunition, safety gear and updates to shooting ranges. Read his bio : “Completing his first rifle marksmanship class when he was just a Cub Scout, Congressman Walz was a natural and frequently took his first gun, a .22 caliber rifle, to the shooting range with his dad.”
Would anyone be surprised that he would get a NRA endorsement … sure, why not he is a sportsman.
But times change.
Earlier this month, my bride and I were walking to the bank and had to wait for the light to change. My bride noticed the motorcyclist had stopped for the red light so we could cross and said to me “when I see guys like that I think of Don” ( a friend who had died after a motorcycle accident.) She saw that he was not wearing a helmet … I noticed something else and told her not to worry, he was protected — he had a firearm on his belt. This was in Mankato … Tim Walz’s city.
WHY did this guy need a gun ? There were no raccoons running across the street … he did not seem to be transporting diamonds for sale and needed protection from being robbed.
IMO, he was just expressing his Second Amendment right and compiling to the law that he is not required to wear a helmet since he was well over 18.
It was more important to him to be the “good guy with a gun willing to take down the bad guy” than protecting himself from a head injury. Think about it … in 2016, 161 people died in motorcycle crashes were not wearing a helmet … versus … in 2014, 5 incidents in which “good guys” exchanged gunfire with a shooter, leading to either the shooter being killed, wounded or taking his own life.
But that’s his call of Freedom from government intrusion.
So Walz has evolved … great !
He will take backlash from some NRA devotees (which is understandable) … but if he has evolved, should he be bashed for his previous positions ?
Let’s acknowledge that it does take political courage to put yourself in cross-hairs of NRA voters (as well as the Moms Demand Action, Sandy Hook Promise, et al.) … especially for those that evolve.
Walz says he has … Pawlenty?
Yet, the real question has to be : How much does the governor matter ?
Isn’t it really the state legislature ?
Didn’t Dayton advocate for gun control legislation and got no where ?
So, let’s take hope in what happened yesterday in Virginia.
After the 2017 elections when the Democrats improved their leverage in the state legislature, they were able to pass a legislation providing for roughly 400,000 newly eligible low-income Virginians to begin enrolling in Medicaid at the start of next year … the Virginia Senate approved it when four Republicans joined Democrats for 23-17 margin.
If you really care about changing gun laws in Minnesota — and I do — well, ask yourself “Who would be more likely to win over Republicans and Democrats than a man who had earned “A” ratings from the NRA ?”
While electability -vs- governance is a discussion for the future ( “BlueDogWalz” -vs- Sam’s Club Pawlenty) does offer one key advantage that the other DFLers don’t have. Simple stated, he has won in the county that matters.
Where will the election be decided ?
Rochester … err Olmsted County. When Pawlenty won the 2006, it was by winning Olmsted County by 9,000 votes and the state by just 21,000 (where Tim Walz beat incumbent and Rochester-native Gil Gutknecht by 1,800 votes.) Walz did have an advantage with his stance on the D&M Railroad which Gutknecht supported over the objections of many Rochester business and citizens … plus the Iraq war … but it made people look at an unknown teacher — who trailblazed the district for a year — and he has maintained his connections in Rochester … including maintaining a district office there.
While Walz has seen his margins dip over the past few years, Olmsted County has remained in his column. Not only did that prove out in 2006, but also in 2016. For reference Clinton won the county by 600 votes with McMullin and Johnson getting over 5,000 votes — Walz beat Hagedorn by over 5,300 votes but won the district by less than 3,700 votes.
On the VA Committee, Walz has injected himself into other Districts … holding joint sessions with Emmer, Peterson and Nolan. On the negative side, Walz did get ripped by the Mankato Free Press Editorial Board for missing so many roll call votes — especially the farm bill.
All that said, I heard Pawlenty on WCCO’s Chad Hartman program on Friday. Hartman asked him … paraphrasing … “OK, there were a lot of things that you did not like about Dayton’s policies, but was there any program or policy that you did like ?”
A great question … surely, he could find something … but he couldn’t … instead he tasked the Legislature and Dayton for failing to address the Trump Tax Plan.
That should be a key … Pawlenty will follow the Trump model and reverse every Dayton program … he will swing the Minnesota Courts … and yes, as you mentioned, re-districting will be influenced by the next governor.
BTW …. what Pawlenty said on Hartman’s show should be a real concern for fiscal conservatives … he wants more tax cuts … including no tax on social security benefits … and no mention of what programs he will cut.
Enbridge Fined for Failing to Fully Inspect Pipelines After Kalamazoo Oil Spill
The Canadian oil pipeline company responsible for one of the largest inland oil spills on record has agreed to pay a $1.8 million fine for failing to thoroughly inspect its pipelines for weaknesses as required under a 2016 agreement.
Federal officials say Enbridge, Inc., did not carry out timely and thorough inspections on one of its pipeline systems, as it had agreed to do as part of a consent decree reached with the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency and U.S. Department of Justice.
More than 1 million gallons of tar sands oil spilled into the Kalamazoo River near the town of Marshall when a 6-foot rupture opened in Enbridge pipeline 6B. Despite warnings of trouble, oil flowed for 17 hours before Enbridge shut down the pipeline. Ultimately, the oil pushed nearly 40 miles downriver, fouling 4,435 acres of land near the river’s banks. It triggered a massive cleanup effort that cost the company $1.2 billion and kept the river closed for nearly two years.
As part of a sweeping, $177 million settlement, Enbridge promised to look for cracks and corrosion on its Lakehead pipeline system, a nearly 2,000-mile grid of pipelines that brings oil from Canada into the United States.
In a document filed in a Michigan federal court on Tuesday, the government alleges that Enbridge failed to properly conduct six inspections.
Although the company agreed to pay the fine, it nevertheless denied that it violated the terms of the consent decree and said it had properly inspected the pipelines.
My concern ….
The spill took place in 2010 under the Obama Administration and it is taking this long for all the legal actions to be resolved … what if a similar event happened today ?
What actions — if any — would the Trump Administration led by Scott Pruitt take ?
How would a Republican Minnesota governor react ?
How would Republicans in Congress react — Pete Stauber, Jim Hagedorn, Jason Lewis, Erik Paulsen, Karin Housley and of course, Tom Emmer.
Elections matter … our world took a drastic turn with the empowerment of Donald Trump and his cronies.
Another bill under consideration was introduced by Rep. Kathy Lohmer (R-Stillwater) and Sen. Jim Abeler (R-Anoka), HF 2998 / SF 2644 would require the Minnesota Department of Public Safety to create “Choose Life” license plates, with proceeds going to Positive Alternative to Abortion grantees (i.e. crisis pregnancy centers). At least 11 states give grants of public money to pregnancy centers or have done so in recent years. “Crisis Pregnancy Centers” aka CPC – have been known to provide false and misleading information. There is a bill in Congress to address this problem — H.R.2566 – Stop Deceptive Advertising for Women’s Healthcare Services Act — and has been sponsored by Betty McCollum.
On an unrelated but related subject, did you read that the Trump Administration has issued new exemptions to the ACA requirement that people maintain a qualified health insurance plan or pay a penalty. (Ya probably know that the Tax Reform and Jobs Act provides for elimination of that penalty, but that does not go into effect until 2019.)
The new exemption, called “hardship exemptions”, provides an exemption if they can’t find a marketplace plan that meets not only their coverage needs but also reflects their view if they are opposed to abortion. In the various news reports, there is no mention if the “insured” needs to be able to give birth — raising the question could men get an exemption?
Please add to your list of questions,
Where are ISIS fighters and how many are presently based in Syria ?
And if they have left Syria, where are they ?
As Members of Congress should know, the liberation of Mosul and Raqqa are major victories for anti-ISIS forces, but the terrorist group is far from defeated, even in the region. Many jihadis not killed on the battlefield have chosen to hide, rearm, and recuperate-going underground for a period before reemerging to fight the next
phase of the insurgency. Reports about the current location of remaining ISIS fighters vary. While there is evidence that some fighters are returning to their home countries, other reports indicate that fighters moved into Syria’s Idlib province … but where are they now?
Regarding the Trump suggestion, which you cited — to have other countries in the region offer support … leads to a question that should tell you how informed the candidate is : Not “what’s the difference between Sunni and Shiite” but “Should there be any concern who supports Jaysh al-Islam (Saudi Arabia) or Ahrar al-Sham (Turkey) ?”
Now Trump may not have a Syria strategy, but Assad had made the reconquest of Eastern Ghouta a strategic goal. The Jaysh al-Islam rebel group was in control of Douma in Eastern Ghouta.
FYI : At the start of the year Eastern Ghouta was a sprawling semi-rural area just east of Damascus, home to almost 400,000 inhabitants. The Syrian government backed by Russian forces launched a massive assault on February 18 to retake the area, which had been out of regime control since 2012.
The intense bombardment killed some 1,700 civilians according to the Syrian Observatory for Human Rights, a Britain-based monitor, and pulverized the area, reducing many neighborhoods to rubble.
On April 15th, an Syrian Arab Army spokesman said “Areas of Eastern Ghouta in rural Damascus have been fully cleansed of terrorism,” as the rebels of Jaish Al-Islam moved into Jarablus in northern Syria in a deal with government.
IMO, the war is over … the Russians and Assad have won the civil war … and ya gotta give credit to Trump … after all, it was reported in July 2017 that Trump decided to halt a covert CIA program to arm and train rebels fighting al-Assad’s regime in Syria, a move Russia has long pushed for it, and reported discussed with Russian President Vladimir Putin on July 7. Republican Senator Lindsey Graham tweeted: “If this is true, a big loss for: 1) Syrians who have been relentlessly attacked by Assad 2) Our Arab partners 3) US standing in the Middle East.”
Yep, give Trump credit … the “dealmaker”, capitulated to Vladimir Putin, providing complete surrender to Russian interests.
Trump never has had a Syria plan … but the threat is really from the ISIS fighters … and we don’t know where they are mobilizing … and Trump doesn’t have a clue.
Hmmm … “one of Tim Pawlenty’s “legacies” as governor was slashing LGA” means that voters need to take a walk down memory lane …. to his 2009 State of the State address and what he was advocating for (as this commentary noted that Minnesota’s infrastructure is aging and needing upgrades … in Backus, Biwabik, Chisholm, Duluth, Eveleth, Gilbert, Hamburg, Hibbing, Mora, North Branch, Vernon Center, Waldorf, Willmar or any of the more than 30 communities that submitted requests for funding through the bonding proposal for the 2010 legislative session.)
Fast forward to today … do you think that Rod Hamilton who represents HD22B hears about the need to increase the state’s share of the costs for wastewater infrastructure from residents in Lakefield ? Lakefield, a small city with a population of 1,691, is also bracing for potentially massive rate increases to pay for a $22 million upgrade to its wastewater system. The city’s average residential water and sewer rates would have to nearly double to $190 a month to cover this cost without financial assistance from the state. The potential increases are so high that there is concern people won’t want to live there.
The 2010 question is being repeated today — “How do they expect our small cities to survive?”
It isn’t just Lakefield, but the city of Glencoe (18B is represented by Glenn Gruenhagen) is facing $22.3 million in costs to replace portions of its facility that are more than 50 years old … Albert Lea (represented by another Republican, Peggy Bennett HD27A) needs to undergo a project that is estimated to cost $72.5 million. Without state help, the city’s wastewater rates would have to nearly triple to an average of $1,082 a year.
A side note to this problem is that many communities are surrounded by farms — and while the federal government should do something with infrastructure, Trump is waging a tariff war … with the first victim being the farmer (who needs to know that he will have a customer for his soybeans). Property taxes are a fixed cost to the family farm … and they will not want to see their taxes go up because their community has to upgrade its water infrastructure.
So should it be a surprise that the Republicans in the state legislature want to show some level of understanding of the need for state funding ?
And there answer …. $30 million.
The 2018 elections will determine who controls the governorship and state legislature. With MNGOP control of the current legislature and a recognizable name in Tim Pawlenty, their chances are more than good.
And the consequences are scary.
The 2020 census will create reapportion of the districts, but the next governor will select judges and fill commissions.
The lesson from 2016 should be the impact that Trump has had … the undoing of regulations by the executive branch and judges confirmed has been under-reported … but will be felt for decades.
For example, the Senate has now confirmed John Ring to the National Labor Relations Board … by a 50-48 vote. Previously, they had confirmed Bill Emanuel so there are now more Republicans on the NLRB than Democrats.
And who is angry about these selections ???
The National Right To Work Committee is worried that, between Emanuel and Ring, the Republican majority would recuse itself out of opportunities to reverse Obama-era precedents … because there would be a conflict of interest owing to previous employment at management-side law firms who represent companies before the NRLB.
The National Right to Work just wanted a lackey who could act immediately on all cases and not have to recuse from any.
There is a lot more at stake than ever.
Isn’t the logical thought that Trump’s actions would cause stress for American farmers ?
Well, Tom Emmer must have anticipated this since he authored Stemming the Tide of Rural Economic Stress and Suicide (STRESS) Act (H.R. 5259) to make mental health treatment more available to farmers.
Sound good doesn’t it ?
Well, don’t be fooled by this re-election ploy … the bill has ZERO dollars in it … in fact, the provision for it was included in prior farm bills but the Republican-controlled House has never funded it.
Why should anyone think that it would when Emmer voted against the most recent government funding bill ?
Your readers might appreciate the MPR story on Cass County where Trump won 62% of the vote with Clinton getting 31% and independents getting 7%. The Trump voters still support him but do not like the Republicans plans to cut Medicaid.
Here’s the interesting sidenote …. in 2016 Cass County, Trump (9982) outperformed Mills (9407) with others getting 1068 votes while Nolan (6287) outperformed Clinton (4949). Voters side with the MN-GOP candidates in the state Minnesota 9709 versus 5666 and the state House contests 9710-5560.
Compare that to 2012 Cass County, Romney won 8957 to Obama 6858 with 210 votes going to others. In the House, Cravaack won 8086 to Nolan 7199.
Strictly looking at Cass County, my assessment is the county will always tend to vote for the GOP candidate … and the best argument is that with the legislature being controlled by the Republicans (in Congress as well as in Minnesota), that if you want to protect yourself from Republican policy views, ya better vote for the opposition.
How do you factor in the cost of college ?
And the argument that colleges may not prepare you for today’s jobs ?
Let me put on my GOP cap — and ignoring the chatter that universities are home to brainwashing liberals (except of course, Liberty, George Mason, Pepperdine, Rice, etc.), and I read that student debt is crippling recent graduates, state colleges are asking for more money, there are no jobs for many graduates because they do not have the right skills.
Then I get a mass mailing from my Republican Congressman telling me how he is working to change the “Skills gap” to create jobs for our kids.
Of course the mass mailing never mentions the student debt related to For-Profit schools — University of Phoenix, Capella University, DeVry University, National American University, etc … and that those schools who stress you will get a job have such low job placement rates as well as low graduation rates.
It becomes easy to blame colleges.
And once again the Republicans win the message contest.
“The right wing had a good election in Minnesota in 2016 because rural DFLers skipped this one and rural swing voters went for Trump. That’s bad.”
Tony offers some very good analysis … although, my impression is that if he included the mid-term years, he would find that it is even more apparent that the MN-GOP consistently gets its voters to participate (look to when the MN-GOP retook the House in 2014,what was the MinnPost headline — “With big assist from rural voters, GOP retakes House”.
Let us remember that Mark Dayton topped Republican Tom Emmer by roughly 9000 votes in 2010 but Dayton won big in 2014 against Jeff Johnson by over 109,000.
The total number of votes in 2010 was 2,106,979.
The total number of votes in 2014 was 1,975,406.
So why was able to Dayton able to squeak by in 2010 but blow out the GOP challenger when less people voted ?
The answer is in the strength of the third-party … to provide a reason for people to go to the polls to cast a “Anybody but” vote. In 2010, Tom Horner lead the third-party challengers with over 250,000 while all the third-party challengers in 2014 didn’t even tally over 110,000.
Now, when you look at Trump’s almost win, you see how much more likely it could have been when you consider the votes that Evan McMullin and Gary Johnson tallied more than 166,000 votes … easily more than enough to have overcome Clinton’s roughly 44,000 margin.
Also, let’s not forget that the Lewis-Craig contested was impacted by the 7.8% of the votes that went to Independent Party challenger Overby.
IMO, the MN-GOP promotes (fear mongers) the issues (abortion, guns, regulations, government overreach, immigrants taking jobs, taxes, etc.) that drives people to participate … and on Election Night, they prove that fear wins.
FYI : CHOICE stands for Creating Hope and Opportunity for Investors, Consumers and Entrepreneurs
Doesn’t that say it all “Hope investors send us campaign donaitons”
Tom Emmer was the lone Minnesotan to sponsor #HR10 but was joined by Erik Paulsen and Jason Lewis in voting for the legislation (all Democrats voted NO.)
It should be pointed out that the one Republican who voted NO issued a statement explaining why — it would be harmful to veterans. Why this was not a concern for Representatives Emmer, Lewis and Paulsen is something worthy of an election question.
Actually, there were a number of organizations that voiced concern (see the MN Political Roundtable review of Erik Paulsen’s claims of why this legislation was necessary — yep, they are outrageous.)
On the overall subject of gerrymandering and the apathy that follows, your readers may appreciate this article reviewing all the states and the impact of “partisan selection”.
Just makes you know how important the 2018 and 2020 state legislative elections are.
Screwing veterans is not reserved just for the Trump White House as Tom Emmer sponsored while Jason Lewis and Erik Paulsen enthusiastically voted in support of HR10 the Financial CHOICE Act.
The Financial CHOICE Act removes the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau’s ability to regulate small-dollar loans, like payday loans, despite evidence of pervasive predatory practices focused on service members. This alarmed numerous national veterans and active duty service organizations, prompting the Veterans of Foreign Wars (VFW) to recommend a NO vote on the Emmer/Lewis/Paulsen bill.
Some good news … and I gotta give some thanks to Collin Peterson and the 56 other bipartisan Members who wrote to VA Secretary Shulkin about proposed budget cuts to end Individual Unemployment program which provides unemployment benefits to more than 200,000 disabled senior veterans with a 60 to 100 percent disability rating.
Today, the word is that the White House is backing off that cut … what is still not certain is if they will still push to “round down” any COLA adjustments for veterans — that could save $20 million in 2018.
If you have heard my story of the CUB cashier before, just skip this paragraph.
While waiting in line for the cashier to get a price check, she noticed my hat — a John Kerry for President cap. It was 2004, the Iraq situation was a big issue but that did not seem to be her issue when she said to me “So you’re a Kerry guy … I’m just not sure about him … he’s gonna raise my taxes.” Not sure what her wage was, but said “No, Bush tax cuts have helped the wealthy … shifting tax burden to workers and increased our national debt while Kerry just wants to roll back the tax cuts on the wealthy.” She responded “yeah, but I still don’t trust him.”
Trump understood the CUB cashier … who saw people paying for groceries with food stamps while she worked … and saw that incursion of automated checkout lines — eliminating cashiers.
So, Trump could be getting some erosion of support … but those voters may still be afraid of the Dems.
The question is will the CUB cashier bother to vote ?
Let’s look at Minnesota’s Second District … and compare the Presidential election years
2012 … 90.1% of the registered voters participated and Kline got 54% of the vote and Obermueller got 46%.
2014 … while the total number of registered voters increased by over 26,000 only just over 12,000 actually voted … reducing the participation rate to 87.4%. MNGOP Lewis won with 47%, DFLer Craig got 45% and IP Overby got 8%.
Beyond that, we know that there are an estimated 49,000 people who are not registered.
That is really the challenge … how do you get people to vote. And some may have felt obligated to vote for Congress and just decided that neither Lewis or Craig was their choice, so they simply “wasted” their vote on Overby. (BTW … consider that TrumpCare was passed with one vote to spare, shouldn’t there be a lot of anger at the inability to excite the voters with Craig’s candidacy … heck, she barely beat Obermueller’s total (she only moved the DFL tally up 2,977) … so why is she being mentioned again this cycle?)
While, this is easily seen as a problem in MN02. consider how the Minnesota legislature has been taken over by the MNGOP, and you gotta be concerned. Look at Walz-Hagedorn race in MN01 … Walz had money to burn and was an incumbent, yet the contest was very close (close enough that Norm Coleman has already sent money to Hagedorn for his 2018 campaign.)
Yeah … there may be some positive trends … but let’s remember that Montana just elected another Republican millionaire in a Special Election (as they did in Kansas) … their margins may have been closer, but they still won.
Dems have to have a better message … not just bashing Trump and Russia … why aren’t they asking “Where’s Trump’s infrastructure bill ?”
Good story of the changing view of Trump supporters can be illustrated by Kraig Moss. “He promised me, in honor of my son, that he was going to combat the ongoing heroin epidemic. He got me hook, line and sinker.”
Moss, an amateur musician, quickly sold enough possessions to fund a months-long tour of more than 40 Trump rallies, where he serenaded voters with pro-Trump songs. His guitar, and the ashes of his late 24-year-old son, Rob, were always close by.
Now, the Trump Budget is out and the White House is proposing cutting the budget for the Office of National Drug Control Policy by 95 percent—a reduction in funds akin to effective elimination.
The ONDCP runs two programs that form the backbone of many of the opioid-related efforts at the local level—the Drug-Free Communities Support Program and the High Intensity Drug Trafficking Areas program. These initiatives provide funding, resources and guidance to local government entities on a wide range of drug-related issues.
So, the programs still are needed … but it may be the States that will be forced to fund them.
That is in essence the GOP / Trump strategy … not eliminate programs just reduce the federal funds … most likely by using “block grants” and let the individual State decide … that’s the RyanCare plan for healthcare … and the DeVos plan for education.
IMO, Democrats should ignore the Russia stories and focus on the Trump budget … especially when Jason Lewis so proudly praises Budget chief Mulvaney (who readers should know that during Senate hearings stated that the HouseGOP target of cutting $800 billion in Medicaid through AHCA, is just one step as the TrumpBudget is looking at total Medicaid cuts up to $1.4 Trillion.
There is good reasons that Kiffmeyer’s bill should not be approved — even by Republicans who must realize that their personal information will be available for anyone to review.
But isn’t the real problem that people just don’t vote … even with the system is easier today with the “no excuse early voting”.
The big vote last week in the House was the approval of TrumpCare … and Minnesota played a key role in that outcome.
It was approved with one vote to spare … meaning that Erik Paulsen was exposed.
Paulsen and others would have gotten even more pressure if Jason Lewis wasn’t there protecting them.
Should Jason Lewis have been there … did people realize that when they decided to cast their vote that their healthcare would be changed … his campaign was based on repealing Obamacare, so no one should have been surprised … yet would they vote today, if they knew what they know now ?
Lewis beat Angie Craig by 6,655 but 29,229 voted for someone else while 53,531 were registered but didn’t vote. Reports are that there were another 49K that are not registered.
America has an apathy problem … the challenge for all politicians is how to get more people to participate … Kiffmeyer’s bill will not help.
FYI : Did you know that Republicans Dave Trott (MI-11) and Jack Bergman (MI-01) along with Democrat Debbie Dingell (MI-12) have introduced H.R.458 – Preserve Our Lakes and Keep Our Environment Safe Act.
Don’t be shocked that Minnesotans Emmer, Lewis and Paulsen have ignored their bill.
The Enbridge pipeline that passes through Wisconsin – Michigan has had at least 29 leaks in its 64-year history—spilling more than 1 million gallons of oil and gas liquids and even Enbridge acknowledged that where the pipeline crosses under the Straits of Mackinac, there are 18 points that have “delaminated,” meaning an outer casing has fallen off.
Read more here.
Suggested reading retail job losses … the list does not include Gander Mountain which is closing 32 stores including 3 in Minnesota … plus in some deep red states like Alabama and Texas.
What does it say when selling guns and ammo isn’t enough to keep these stores open ?
In a report published earlier this month, Credit Suisse analysts said the big four sportsman superstore operators together have lost steam. Credit Suisse forecast growth of below 10 percent this year. That follows several years when the superstore chains posted growth rates of more than 20 percent.
These job losses will make workers uneasy … which should be a major concern for Erik Paulsen/Jason Lewis as many of the job losses will impact women (BLS reports that 75% of clothing stores and 60% of department store workers are women) … they will see their healthcare costs going up with TrumpCare.
It will be interesting to see how Lewis explains the change in the number of workers participating in the workforce … he has complained last year that a 62.9% labor force participation rate of 62.9% had to be corrected … the first months under Trump has barely moved it to 63.0%.
Funny thing is that today, I heard two commercials on the radio calling for job fairs … the one was from a local precision parts manufacturer — hiring second shift with wages starting at $15 for a physical job … the other was for Wal*Mart’s distribution center — starting wages at $17.
The retail industry is going through major changes … with more online-shopping purchases being delivered directly to your home. Go to your local grocery store where your loyalty card has preloaded sales discounts and automatic check-outs will lead to more job losses.
Hmmm … let’s see so if you are a woman who delivered a healthy baby and had no complications, you still get to pay more (last one on the list).
Good to know that there is not a War On Women any more … it’s a War On Mommies.
And let’s look at the third item on your list … Colorectal cancer is the third leading cause of cancer-related deaths in women in the United States and the second leading cause in men. It is expected to cause about 50,260 deaths during 2017. Of course, you could get screened … but that would mean that you would pay a higher premium … so is it better to just die ?
BTW … I guess that means that H.R. 1017 The Removing Barriers to Colorectal Cancer Screening Act, isn’t necessary anymore.
No wonder I see that Erik Paulsen has been tweeting pictures of him in doctor’s garb (most recently at Mercy Hospital with Dr. Stark performing a heart valve procedure … he must be checking up to be sure that everyone who meets #10 on the list gets to pay a little more.
FYI from the Business Insider
These changes were not enough for some members of the Freedom Caucus, according to reports. Rep. Jim Jordan of Ohio, a prominent member of the Freedom Caucus, told reporters that essential health benefit repeal was not enough and “it’s always been beyond that.”
The freedom Caucus has reportedly asked for a repeal of some “Title 1 provisions” in the ACA. These provisions do things like prevent insurers from denying coverage based on a pre-existing condition, allow children to stay on their parents insurance until they turn 26 years old, and annual limits on healthcare costs.
ICYMI #1. The New York Times reported that Robert S. Eitel, a former compliance officer at for-profit college operator Bridgepoint Education Inc., is working at the Education department. Eitel, a former deputy general counsel at the Education Department from 2006 to 2009, has been a critic of federal regulations on for-profit colleges. The Consumer Financial Protection Bureau last September ordered Bridgepoint, Eitel’s former employer, to refund $23.5 million to students whom it had deceived into taking out loans that cost more than advertised. Bridgepoint is currently under investigation by the Department of Justice, the Securities and Exchange Commission, and the attorneys general of New York, North Carolina, California and Massachusetts.
ICYMI #2. Federal marshals are protecting Education Secretary Betsy DeVos at a cost of $7.8 million through September (the fiscal year end).
ICYMI #3. The House will like vote (and pass) HR1387 which will authorize funding for DC Charter Schools (would cost $315 million over 5 yrs) … remember Congress authorizes and controls all spending for the District … so they can allow states to use federal dollars for charter schools in their states, but with the DC schools they can actually give out the money.