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Why Trump Will Resign Before the Mid-term Elections

by Invenium Viam on April 27, 2017 · 0 comments


Mama told me when I was young
“Come sit beside me, my only son
And listen closely to what I say
And if you do this it’ll help you some sunny day.”

“And be a simple kind of man
Oh, be something you love and understand
Baby be a simple kind of man
Oh, won’t you do this for me, son, if you can.”
                                    Simple Man, Lynyrd Skynyrd


Now approaching 100 days of the single most incompetent administration in American history so far, The Donald® has discovered, among other things: 1) That health care reform is complicated; 2) That China and Korea have ancient animosities that inform their relations to this day; 3) That government is big, costly, often inefficient, and difficult to manage; 4) That the UN and NATO have been crucial in maintaining a stable world order since World War II; and 5) That the Middle-east is a centuries old, savage, bloody pit-fight managed and run by corrupt, theocratic and/or oligarchic governments run by some of the worst people in the world.


In short, Trump has been finding out that he doesn’t know very much outside of New York real estate and is ill-suited to be the president. Or, put another way, #45 is simply ignorant about many, many things. That is not a criticism. We are all ignorant about some things. But Trump continues to believe that he’s the smartest guy in whatever room he happens to occupy, about everything, because his narcissistic ego tells him so. And he loves listening to that devil because he’s become the lowest form of crack-whore for self-flattery and self-aggrandisement.


Unfortunately, his bottomless appetite for both is precisely what makes him stupid. It’s kind of like watching someone smoke a cigarette through a tracheal ventilator. It’s sadly, tragically, horrific.


The problem with stupid people is that quite often they don’t know that they’re stupid. Many of them think that they’re smart. And they get very, very angry when smart people point out that they’re stupid. Smart people like journalists, judges and economists who write news stories, legal opinions, and reports that shine a light on stupid actions, stupid decisions, and stupid policies. Not ignorant actions, not ill-informed decisions, not uneducated policies − stupid ones.


The antidote for stupidity is humility, the acquisition of specific knowledge about specific subject matter, and reliance on expertise in the absence of a deeper understanding. Trump has no humility, he has an obviously limited fund of knowledge, and he denigrates and disparages expertise. He believes that he’s smarter than the generals, smarter than the diplomats, smarter than the spooks, smarter than the scientists, smarter than the policy experts. He has absolutely no rational basis for believing these things, but he does anyway. He is forced to reverse his positions and revise his opinions again and again. And the feedback he gets from all quarters universally contradicts his boundless hubris, yet he rejects all criticism and contrary evidence that shows himself to himself in a light he doesn’t like because it doesn’t agree with his self-image.


Taken in concert, this is precisely what makes Trump a very, very stupid man. He has no true sense of himself or of how he comports himself, of how his current actions are influenced by past actions, or how current actions might affect future actions. That is the very definition of stupidity: having no guiding sense or insight.


And that’s why it’s a dead certainty that both Trump-the-candidate and his campaign staff colluded with Russian foreign intelligence operatives working directly for Putin to skew the 2016 presidential election on Trump’s behalf. Russia has a long history of interfering in the elections of other countries. They are interfering in European elections at this very moment. The US, too, has a long history of interfering in the elections of other nations. Along with proxy wars, interfering in the elections of other nations was a major component of the decades-long Cold War between the US and the USSR. And it continues to this day.


Besides, Putin hates Hillary for supporting regime change during her tenure as Secretary of State and was enraged by her statements in support of anti-Putin protesters in December of 2011, who claimed Putin had rigged the parliamentary elections. He vowed revenge. And he got it.


Therein lies the key to understanding why Trump will be impeached and forced to resign. There is no law that prevents Russia or any other country from attempting to interfere with our elections. There are laws against espionage. There are laws against cyber intrusion and hacking. There are laws against political candidates and campaigns colluding with foreign governments to influence the outcome of elections. There are laws against government officials − including retired generals − taking money from foreign governments. There are lots of laws against corruption of all kinds. But political corruption is something distinct from business corruption. Having never held public office before being elected President, Trump had little direct experience with what constitutes political corruption. Winning a political election is not the same thing as having either political competence, or competence in office.

More Below the Fold


oilspillA couple of recent developments.

Minnesota Center for Environmental Advocacy, Sierra Club, MN350, and Center for Biological Diversity filed comments (April 17) opposing reauthorization of a permit that could allow Enbridge’s existing Line 3 pipeline to operate in the Chippewa National Forest for up to thirty years. Substandard welding and extensive corrosion on thousands of joints risk an immediate tar sands oil spill from the pipeline. The permit being sought by Enbridge would allow a six pipeline corridor, including Line 3, to continue to operate across Chippewa National Forest land. The existing permit expires at the end of 2017. Because of the threat to the Chippewa National Forest, the conservation groups argue Enbridge’s special use permit application should be denied, or at a minimum, that environmental review of the application is required.
(Minnesota Center for Environmental Advocacy)

In 1990, a helicopter patrol spotted a patch of oil on the ground about a mile south of Millecoquins Lake near Engadine. The oil was from Enbridge Line 5, which had spilled 630 gallons through a pinhole leak.
That spill is among almost 30 spills along the pipeline — many of them previously unknown or largely forgotten incidents — unearthed in federal records by National Wildlife Federation (NWF) pipeline safety specialist and researcher Beth Wallace.
The organization released the results of Wallace’s research this week, estimating that Line 5, which runs from Superior, Wis., to Sarnia, Ontario by way of Michigan, has spilled at least 1.13 million gallons of oil in 29 incidents since 1968.


trump13It is in fact a good thing that many of these are “fails,“ including/especially for Trump’s wildly misinformed and gullible base. But it’s still 100 days of failure, in context.


1. “Middle Class Tax Relief”: FAIL.

2. “End the Offshoring Act”: FAIL.

3. “American Energy & Infrastructure Act”: FAIL.

4. “School Choice and Education Opportunity Act”: FAIL.

5. “Repeal and Replace Obamacare Act”: FAIL.

6. “Affordable Childcare and Eldercare Act”: FAIL.

7. “End Illegal Immigration Act”: FAIL.

8. “Restoring Community Safety Act”: FAIL.

9. “Restoring National Security Act”: FAIL.

10. “Clean up Corruption in Washington Act”: FAIL.
(Daily Kos)


minnesota_state_capitolI spend so much time ripping on the Party of Trump-controlled 2017 Minnesota legislature, all of it deserved, that I feel a need to note that there are good things happening there, too.

The House on Monday approved a bill that would extend and expand benefits to people with autism and related conditions.
Sponsored by Rep. Roz Peterson (R-Lakeville) and Sen. Jim Abeler (R-Anoka), HF919/ SF562* modifies a 2013 law that provided intensive treatment for children with autism spectrum disorders. Passed 131-0, the bill would extend the benefits, called Early Intensive Developmental and Behavioral Intervention (EIDBI), to 21-year-olds and expands qualifying conditions.
After passing the Senate March 20 by a 66-0 vote, the bill now heads to Gov. Mark Dayton.
(Session Daily)

Unfortunately, based on this, as far as I can tell the next one didn’t make it through the committee process, this session. Hopefully they’ll keep trying.

The Wilder Foundation is pushing Minnesota lawmakers to pass a bill that would set aside $5 million dollars a year to expand CLASS Act to other cities. And backers have found strong support on both sides of the aisle.
The measure allocates $10 million from the state’s housing trust fund over two years to secure stable housing for families with children in pre-K through grade 12. The bill expands a pilot program that helped 277 students over the past two school years.
Republican Bill Weber of Luverne is chief author of the measure in the Senate. Even with a $1.65 billion budget surplus, Weber said lawmakers need to be careful about how they spend taxpayer money.
He said the rental assistance pilot is worth funding because it has a proven track record.


trump16Incompetent and delusional.

First, of course, is the fact that Trump’s own businesses don’t come close to fulfilling his big “Buy American, Hire American” talk. The Washington, D.C., hotel that opened while he was out campaigning on making America great again is filled with imported products. He used Chinese steel in recent construction projects. Ivanka Trump-branded clothes continue to be made in China. Eric Trump’s winery has applied for dozens of guestworker visas since November’s election.
The fact that Trump talks the talk but doesn’t walk the walk in his business life isn’t the only problem here, though. Take his pledge to crack down on H-1B visas…
(Daily Kos)

Comment below fold.

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733903_10151935016956738_272268164_nOf course they are. It’s like the moon and the tides, and with about as much thought put into it all.

State-sponsored health programs administered by the Department of Human Services would not be able to pay for abortions, except as needed to continue participation in a federal program.
The House passed HF809 Monday 77-54. Sponsored by Rep. Mary Franson (R-Alexandria), the bill now moves to the Senate, where Sen. Mary Kiffmeyer (R-Big Lake) is the sponsor…
Rep. Laurie Halverson (DFL-Eagan) said the entire range of health care should be available to women in Minnesota regardless of whether they are wealthy or poor.
“We’re developing a habit of not listening to low-income women and not listening to women of color within the Legislature,” said Rep. Peggy Flanagan (DFL-St. Louis Park).
(Session Daily)

Also “House passes measure to require licensure of abortion clinics.”

Rather interesting. The part about “running out of measures to introduce,” in many states, is my pick.

“There is this competition to the bottom that has been happening with state legislatures and abortion over the past six years,” says Elizabeth Nash, the state issues manager for the Guttmacher Institute and the lead author on the report. But in 2017, she adds “the scale has changed.” She explained that compared with the same period from 2011 to 2016, “we haven’t been seeing as much activity on abortion as we have seen.” Rather than suggesting a diminished interest in abortion restrictions, Nash explains that given the onslaught of new abortion restrictions in the past six years, some states might simply be running out of measures to introduce. But beyond that, health care reform, state budgets, and the opioid crisis might have caused conservative state legislatures to focus their attention elsewhere at the beginning of their legislative sessions, suggesting that anti-abortion activity might pick up later in the year.
(Mother Jones)


paulsenAnother recent indicator that Rep. Erik Paulsen (R-MN) may be the current U.S. House’s most atrociously fake “moderate” was his intent to vote for Trumpcare 1.0, had it come to a vote there. So we’ll see where he’s at on the next iteration.

Based on our analysis, we estimate that individuals with even relatively mild pre-existing conditions would pay thousands of dollars above standard rates to obtain coverage. For example, because an individual with asthma costs an issuer 106 percent more than a healthy 40-year-old, she would face a premium surcharge of $4,340. The surcharge for diabetes would be $5,600 per year. Coverage could become prohibitively expensive for those in dire need of care: Insurers would charge about $17,320 more in premiums for pregnancy, $26,580 more for rheumatoid arthritis and other autoimmune disorders, and $142,650 more for patients with metastatic cancer.
(Center for American Progress)


An additional Paulsen thing, about the fact that suspending the medical device tax has not resulted in any U.S. jobs boom in the industry: “Was Erik Paulsen Duped By Medical Devicemakers Or Is He Promoting Alternative Facts?” (MN Political Roundtable)
Comment below fold.

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trump7Prioritizing matters here at home, all right.

In his less than three months in office, Donald Trump has escalated four wars, and all of his escalations have been failures…
Trump campaigned on reducing such foreign entanglements and focusing on the US and its needs. But in office he has declined to rethink any of these commitments and indeed has escalated in each theater…
What all four Trump interventions in his ongoing US wars in the Middle East have in common is that they were splashy, produced headlines for a day, and altered the course of the conflict not a jot or a tittle.
(Informed Comment)


The “R” Word

by Bill Prendergast on April 22, 2017 · 0 comments



trump6(In Part 1 I blogged about the Great American Stupid. In Part 2, about voting numbers and trends.)

There is no question that corporate media (CM) horrifically failed the American people in the 2016 election cycle. By treating Hillary’s email server as the very scandal of the millennium, while Donald Trump’s virtually endless litany of failings as a candidate for the highest office and as a human being were presented as just more tidbits in the here-today-gone-tomorrow news cycle (in which actual policy issues went virtually unmentioned, in any meaningful way), CM unquestionably played a key role in the disastrous outcome.

I’ve never seen anything like CM’s open, flagrant bias in this one, and my paying attention to presidential campaigns goes back to 1972. (Yeah, I was all of 11 at the time, but intellectually precocious. And a fervent Nixon Republican. But that’s another matter.) But the thing is, I don’t know that much of CM really wanted Pr*sident Trump to actually win; I don’t think they actually believed that he really could, any more than, for example, I did. Trump was seen more as ultimately harmless entertainment (and, of course, ratings-bait) than as a real threat. The intent was to create a close election, and blunt Democratic downballot gains. And as far as the fallout now coming down on corporate media, because of it all…well, everything about “President Trump” is too serious, and disturbing, a matter for any gleeful schadenfreude, on my part.
As always, sweeping statements like those in the first paragraph above, while possessed of ample truth, require a measure of qualification, here in the messy, uncertain world of…reality. How much influence does corporate media really have? Let’s consider some numbers.