Election Day is November 5. One week to go!
Three seats could arguably become significantly more progressive, depending on the outcomes of Hofstede/Frey in Ward 3, Tuthill/Bender in Ward 10, and in the Ward 12 race where incumbent Sandy Colvin Roy decided to retire when she didn’t get the party endorsement, due to a strong challenge from Andrew Johnson. Or would they, really?
In Ward 3, absolutely. Frey is a strong progressive. If even some of the reports of Hofstede’s poor responsiveness to constituent concerns, and lack of preparedness for meetings, are accurate, then she hasn’t had much of an agenda, progressive or otherwise, other than feeling important.
In Wards 10 and 12, in the context of this discussion, the dynamic is pretty much the same. That is, the incumbent that could be replaced, in Ward 10, and the one that will be replaced, in Ward 12, are both pretty progressive, too. They’re being targeted mostly for their votes on the stadium deal. Perhaps their challengers are somewhat more to the left, overall, but not enough to shift the entire Council leftward, by themselves.
Other seats that will change hands include Cano/Moore (Ward 9, replacing Gary Schiff), and Palmisano/Perry (Ward 13, replacing Betsy Hodges). So they’ll stay progressive, in any case. Ty Moore would certainly make that one more so, ideologically.
The other incumbent facing a big challenge is Robert Lilligren, in Ward 6. He’s solidly progressive (and voted against the stadium deal), at least as much as challenger Abdi Warsame (based on what I can glean from Warsame’s website). But, again, probably the difference is not enough to really matter, when it comes to the down and dirty business of actually governing.
I don’t have enough of a handle on Ward 5, to speculate with any confidence, on this matter.
In none of the races mentioned above am I suggesting that any candidates not individually noted have no chance.
I’m not the sensitive type, and it’s perfectly all right to take issue with any of the characterizations herein, in the comments.