Recent Posts

Erik Paulsen

So which is it?

Rep. Erik Paulsen (R-MN) may or may not have plans to run against Sen. Al Franken or against Governor Mark Dayton in 2014. Paulsen has stayed out of the limelight since winning election in 2008 to the MN-03 district which encompasses the western suburbs of Minneapolis.

Paulsen says he’s consistently said he has no intention of running for higher office in 2014:

“I can’t comment on the interpretation of others..on remarks that I’ve made. But my message has been consistent,” said Paulsen, who said he has had no conversations with anyone at the National Republican Senatorial Committee about a possible run.

You would hold this opinion if you read the Minneapolis Star Tribune. Other sources, like MPR, beg to differ:

Republican Congressman Erik Paulsen said today he is not ruling out a run for higher office in 2014.

Paulsen has been mentioned as a possible challenger to DFL Senator Al Franken. In the past month, he has told several people that he’s not interested in running for Senate – only to have his aides quickly retract those statements.

After a news conference in St. Paul, Paulsen said everything is on the table, including a run for Senate or a run for governor.

The real reason that Paulsen wouldn’t be interested is the polling numbers. PPP released a poll in late January showing Franken leading Paulsen in a hypothetical 2014 race 50-39%.

facebooktwittergoogle_plusredditpinterestlinkedinmail

{ 1 comment }

Franken Bachmann

Please please please please please …

In a PPP poll released today, 45% of Minnesota Republicans want Rep. Michele Bachmann (R-MN) to challenge Sen. Al Franken (DFL-MN) in 2014.

Republicans all know that they’ve been losing because their candidates haven’t been conservative enough. I don’t want to disabuse them of this fallacy. I have no idea how they rationalize themselves into explaining how Kurt Bills lost to Sen. Amy Klobuchar and Allen Quist lost to Rep. Tim Walz, but I’d be interested in reading the intellectual gymnastics required to fit these humbling defeats into their rationalization.

But facts aside (as if they ever mattered to Republicans), they want the gaffe-prone, fact-challenged whack job from Stillwater to face Franken.

The survey of 1,065 Minnesota voters by Public Policy Polling found Franken with a job approval rating of 52 percent. Franken’s work in the Senate received a thumbs down from 41 percent of those surveyed. Approval ratings above 50 percent tend to suggest a relatively safe position for incumbent lawmakers.

Franken also bests a wide field of potential GOP challengers in a series of hypothetical lineups including former Sen. Norm Coleman, U.S. Reps. John Kline, Erik Paulsen and Michele Bachmann. The closest any of them comes to Franken is Coleman though he still draws just 44 percent support compared to Franken’s 50 percent. Coleman has also ruled out a rematch against Franken in interviews with MPR News and other outlets.

PPP also polled a subset of 275 Minnesota Republicans about their preferences for the party’s nominee and found that Bachmann was the overwhelming favorite should she decide to run. The four term congresswoman has the support of 45 percent of the GOP voters polled which was far ahead of any other potential candidates. But Bachmann polls badly against Franken in a general election setting, drawing 40 percent support compared to Franken’s 54 percent.
(MPR)

Sen. Al Franken is still looking pretty invincible.

facebooktwittergoogle_plusredditpinterestlinkedinmail

{ 9 comments }

Disaster Hypocrites
Bachmann Kline Paulsen

When disasters occur, Americans rally together. Or at least we used to.

I remember in 1979 when my hometown of Rochester, MN had a massive flood that the Menonites and Amish drove up from Iowa to help.

Utility crews from across the eastern seaboard helped get power back after Hurricane Sandy.

After Hurricane Katrina decimated New Orleans, Americans across the nation gathered needed items and sent them down.

After the 35W bridge collapsed, we received federal aid to get it rebuilt. Nobody held our federal aid hostage over some bull**** principle that they adhered to only when politically convenient.

But that was 2007.

A Democratic activist is targeting U.S. Rep. Erik Paulsen for his vote against a bill that would provide $50.5 billion in emergency relief for the victims of Hurricane Sandy, which decimated parts of the northeastern United States.
Carrie Lucking, executive director of the Alliance for a Better Minnesota, painted Paulsen’s vote as a move to better position himself to earn the Republican Party endorsement for the 2014 Senate race against Democrat Al Franken.

The bill passed the Republican-controlled U.S. House 241-180 on Tuesday night, with Minnesota Republican U.S. Reps. Michele Bachmann and John Kline also voting against the aid package.(Star Tribune)


facebooktwittergoogle_plusredditpinterestlinkedinmail

{ 2 comments }

Paulsen loses on ACA device tax

by Dan Burns on January 14, 2013

Rep. Erik Paulsen (R-MN) made a big deal out of looking to repeal the proposed tax on the medical device industry, that is part of the funding mechanism for the Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act.  He was not successful, nor is he likely to be.

(Repealing the tax is) an extremely optimistic goal, according to Norman Ornstein, a congressional expert with the American Enterprise Institute. Even with comprehensive tax reform to address the deficit, Ornstein said, the goal is to add revenue to the federal budget, not take it away…

In any case, the University of Maryland’s (Don) Kettl said, the White House and most Democrats “are trying to build a deep moat around anything having to do with funding health care reform,” which President Obama considers the landmark legislation of his first term.

Because Big Device is so big here in Minnesota’s metro area, many Minnesota Democrats, including both U.S. Senators and even Rep. Keith Ellison, got on board with repeal.  That may have been seen as politically necessary, but that doesn’t make it right.  I don’t see any reason that that industry can’t kick in a little more for the greater good, especially given its reliance on government money, for example:

Boston Scientific – Awarded at least $1.94 million from 8 grants in 5 states, including $510,570 from Minnesota and $450,000 from Florida, both in the form of corporate tax breaks.

Medtronic Inc. – Awarded at least $47.6 million from 26 grants in 9 states, including $37.7 million from Minnesota, and $6 million from Texas.


facebooktwittergoogle_plusredditpinterestlinkedinmail

{ 2 comments }

Invincible Al Franken?

by The Big E on January 10, 2013

The National Journal, preeminent RWNJ magazine and website, thinks that Al Franken may not have a strong challenger when he runs for reelection in 2014. They may have a point.

The MNGOP is in disarray. They’re broke and having trouble fundraising because they’ve done such a poor job of managing donors money (see TwoPuttTommy’s Cooked Books series). Their bench is thin.

Furthermore, Ron Paul supporters took over the party in 2012 and nominated one-term legislator and abysmal failure Kurt Bills as their candidate to challenge Sen. Amy Klobuchar. But did any Minnesota Republican really stand any chance against the popular Klobuchar? Maybe Mister Bills was just a sacrificial lamb.

So the writer for the NJ talked to former Senator Snidely Whiplash Norm Coleman. The toothsome former Senator (God but I love typing that) gave a back-handed compliment about Franken being invisible which shouldn’t be surprising as I can only imagine that Norm is still mighty bitter.

What Franken has actually done is work hard for Minnesota. The details are for another post as this post is about the paucity of challengers.

The list of potential, formidable candidates is short.  Coleman, in an interview with National Journal, categorically said he wasn’t going to run for the Senate in 2014, denying the GOP one of its best-known possible challengers. Rep. Erik Paulsen, a popular House member from the Twin Cities suburbs, telegraphed his own hesitance about jumping into the Senate race on a local radio show. Coleman touted Rep. John Kline, another swing-district Republican, but he has passed up previous statewide bids in favor of building up tenure in the House. And Rep. Michele Bachmann, who would be formidable in a primary, would be the Democrats’ dream challenger, given her high unfavorables even back home. She barely won re-election in a solidly-Republican House district in 2012.

What’s clear is that Minnesota Republicans are wary of jumping head first into the contest, despite the obvious opportunities against Franken. After the 2012 elections, Republican Senate candidates Shelley Moore Capito and former South Dakota Gov. Mike Rounds immediately announced their campaigns against Sens. Jay Rockefeller and Tim Johnson. By contrast, there’s barely been a peep from potential Franken challengers.

Franken’s ground game, fundraising, and out-of-the-limelight approach help explain why. Franken’s campaign coffers are flush with cash. His job-approval rating, according to the most recent September Star-Tribune poll, is a healthy 52 percent.  Sen. Amy Klobuchar, D-Minn., romped to reelection last November, winning nearly every county in the expansive state. Franken has raised nearly $4 million for 2014, with nearly $1.3 million cash on hand. That would give him a healthy head start over his opposition. (By contrast, the Republican Party of Minnesota is still struggling with $1.5 million in debt.)

Over the last election cycle, Franken’s leadership PAC, Midwest Values PAC, raised $450,000 for his Senate colleagues, and Franken himself spent the election season campaigning on behalf of other Democrats, who made gains in the upper chamber. That’s a sign of confidence that he’s spending valuable time helping Democratic colleagues over preparing early for his own reelection. Such fundraising opens avenues for Franken to tap his colleagues for help come 2014.

Democratic strategists also point to the fact that Franken has consciously ignored the glare of the national media spotlight, preferring to speak to Minnesota media. They say he’s laser-focused on talking about his record to Minnesotans and point to his sponsoring of the so-called Medical Loss Ratio rule that was passed as part of the Affordable Care Act.
(National Journal)

facebooktwittergoogle_plusredditpinterestlinkedinmail

{ 3 comments }

Paulsen declines Senate race (or not?)

by Joe Bodell on January 3, 2013

Senator Al Franken has dodged what, frankly, could have been a pretty big bullet in 2014: Erik Paulsen won’t run against him:

When asked Wednesday whether he was interested in a run for Senate, Paulsen said, “No, that’s ridiculous.”

He emphasized that he wants to use his seat on the tax-writing House Ways and Means Committee to overhaul the tax code this year and said any legislation produced by that effort would the best way he could represent his constituents in the 3rd District, which spans the western Minneapolis suburbs.

Paulsen may be in the House Majority for the time being, but is still a back-bencher, stuck behind more than a dozen Republicans who also enjoy their seats on the committee. For a non-Tea-infused Republican, seniority and the perks that accompany it matter.

Thus, I’m not really impressed by this statement from Paulsen. But it’s still surprising — having kept up the ex-Congressman’s campaign color scheme and not had very tough reelection efforts, he’s been able to cultivate an aw-shucks, workmanesque reputation despite his having voted with Michele Bachmann more than 90% of the time. Either he’s worried about having his record vetted before the entire state’s electorate, or simply doesn’t think Franken can be beaten this cycle.

The big question now is this: who do the Republicans have left? A state legislator with no statewide profile? A former office-holder with baggage? Either way, it’s good news for Franken.

Update: or maybe not. This definitely has the stink of “keeping my options open.”

facebooktwittergoogle_plusredditpinterestlinkedinmail

{ 7 comments }

Paulsen targeted in fiscal slope mess

by Dan Burns on December 21, 2012

There’s a new ad, dealing with the fiscal “cliff” thing.

The ad is being run nationally on cable;  on broadcast five U.S. Representatives are being targeted, including Erik Paulsen (R-MN).  Paulsen?!  A few possibilities come to mind, singly or in combination.

1.  Somebody may think that he’s a moderate that can be persuaded.  His voting record doesn’t bear that out…except, perhaps, in the context of a caucus dominated by crude, crazy reactionaries.

2.  He may be regarded as vulnerable in 2014, in his on-paper-at-least swing district.  I’m distressed to have to note that he sailed to a double-digit victory, last month.

3.  Someone may be looking to get an early start going after him, in the event that he runs against Sen. Al Franken (D-MN) in 2014.  He’s claimed no interest in doing so, but in my estimation he’s far and away the best potential Republican candidate out there.

Don’t get me wrong, I’m delighted to see Paulsen being focused on in this way. I’m just having a hard time pinning down why that is.

facebooktwittergoogle_plusredditpinterestlinkedinmail

{ 1 comment }

From the Star Tribune:

WASHINGTON — Lawmakers looking for a way around the year-end budget impasse known as the “fiscal cliff” might get some help from some Minnesota Republicans who are signaling a crack in the long-standing GOP anti-tax pledge.

U.S. Reps. John Kline and Erik Paulsen, both potential Senate candidates in 2014, say they would consider raising new tax revenue by closing “special interest loopholes” in the tax code as part of a deficit deal that significantly cuts spending.

Also signing on to a tax loophole strategy is recently defeated Minnesota Republican Chip Cravaack, whose single term ends after the current lame-duck session of Congress.

And Michele Bachmann? No. At this writing, she’s sticking with Grover Norquist and that “trip over the fiscal cliff.”

How about Kline, Paulsen, and Cravaack? Does closing “special interest tax loopholes” constitute breaking Norquist’s “no new taxes” pledge? Well–yeah…
(CONTINUED)
Norquist’s pledge (which these Republican legislators signed) says that signer pledges to:

Oppose any net reduction or elimination of deductions and credits, unless matched dollar for dollar by further reducing tax rates.

…and Kline, Paulsen, and Cravaack are in effect announcing that they’re going to stop “opposing any net reduction or elimination of deductions and credits.” In fact: they’re going to support reducing or eliminating some deductions and/or credits.

So they are indeed supporting tax hikes.

If they follow through, that’s three more defections from the pledge; three more cracks in Norquist’s twenty five year reign of terror over the Republican Party.

The Strib article is funny to read, because you get hear John Kline explain why the pledge he took and campaigned on is now “open to interpretation.” And you get to hear Erik Paulsen explain that the pledge doesn’t really count for him–because he signed it as “a member of the Minnesota Legislature, not as a member of Congress.”

How would these guys have done this year if they’d weasel-worded like that–*prior* to the election?

We’ll never know. But this episode is more evidence of what we knew all along: conservative voters–can’t trust conservative Republicans–to keep their word.

Of course the rest of us are glad that Kline, Paulsen, and Cravaack are considering breaking the pledge. It’s the right thing to do: as a “small government” measure, the pledge is both meaningless and destructive because it never required signer-politicians to renounce spending or borrowing.

Will Michele eventually cave, too? I would bet “no,” but you can’t ever be sure with her. For example: she told her constituents and the American public that big government was broke–at the same time she was requesting more federal deficit spending in her district. So her word, on matters of principle–is meaningless.

Despite what she says and despite what her legions of supporters believe–conservative “principle” and “freedom” have nothing to do with it. Her career is really all about “political advantage for Michele Bachmann.”
And that is how she will make the call, on abiding by her pledge or breaking it.

LINK:
http://www.startribune.com/pol…  

facebooktwittergoogle_plusredditpinterestlinkedinmail

{ 0 comments }

Paulsen/Kline possible 2014 Franken challengers?

by Dan Burns on November 19, 2012

There is an interesting article in The Hill, regarding the 2014 race in which Sen. Al Franken (D-MN) will be defending his seat.

Reps. Erik Paulsen (R-Minn.) and John Kline (R-Minn.) are two early mentions for the race.

“I’d put Congressmen Paulsen and Kline at the top of the list, they’d both be very strong candidates,” said Brian McClung, who served as former Gov. Tim Pawlenty’s (R) deputy chief of staff.

Neither congressman would say for sure what his plans are.

I’d be surprised if Kline seriously looks at running.  As chair of the House Education and the Workforce Committee, he already has ample opportunity to indulge his self-important authoritarian tendencies almost to the max, despite his being an incompetent legislator.  He can’t stand to be challenged in any way, and the notion of Franken ripping him to shreds in public has to be anathema to him.

Paulsen, on the other hand, I see as a very real possibility.  Next to a couple of state legislative contests for which I had high hopes, the ease with which he was reelected in MN-03 was my biggest disappointment in Minnesota, this cycle.  He won in a romp because he was able to portray himself as a “sensible moderate.”  His voting record is in fact that of a stone conservative, by any reality-based standard, and I don’t know that he’d be able to successfully disguise that in the hot glare of a contested U.S. Senate race.  We may well find out.

facebooktwittergoogle_plusredditpinterestlinkedinmail

{ 8 comments }

Barnes/Paulsen KSTP faceoff on YouTuve

by JeffStrate on October 2, 2012

The recent “debate” between MN Congressional District 3 candidates Erik Paulsen and Brian Barnes on Channel 45 has been uploaded to YouTube.  Take a gander here – http://www.youtube.com/watch?v…

facebooktwittergoogle_plusredditpinterestlinkedinmail

{ 0 comments }