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With just three precincts to go, it looks like the final results will look something like this:
Mike Parry: 43%
Jason Engbrecht: 36.5%
Roy Srp: 20%
My guess is that Srp took a lot more votes from Parry (I'm conservative, but can't vote for Parry) than from Engbrecht (I might vote Democrat, but not that guy).
In case anyone needs a bit more spin, let's talk facts instead: Republican Dick Day held this seat for more than four terms without a single strong challenge, and Parry, who tripped himself up with Tweetgate (and then defending it, and then not), could manage just 43% -- with support from Day himself and the GOP's big dog, Tim Pawlenty.
Not exactly a game-changer for the statewide elections coming up later this year.
In what's being forecast as a generally bad year for Democrats, I think it's still a relatively safe bet that this seat will be in play come November. |