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Trying to deal with the ridiculous

by Dan Burns on March 21, 2013

trickleYou don’t have to go far, on the progressive blogosphere, to find uncomplimentary discussion of the latest incarnation of the “Ryan budget.” But the thing is so awful, so egregious, that there’s every reason for us all to pile on.

 

Rep. Paul Ryan (R-WI) released the third iteration of the GOP budget on (March 12). The document achieves balance in 10 years by maintaining the high revenue levels and health care savings that Republicans have vociferously opposed and slashing the health and safety net programs that middle and lower income Americans rely on. Top-income earners and corporations, meanwhile, would benefit from huge tax breaks.

 

(Think Progress)

 

Somebody wrote something recently, and I wish I remember where so that I could credit it properly, to the effect that one thing that the right-wing crazies have going for them is that they’re so extreme that they’re ridiculous. And how do you effectively deal with the ridiculous?

 

Not how President Obama has been dealing with it, that’s for sure. On the whole, I support him. But, and it indeed pains me to type this, on the sequester, he got played for a fool and a sucker…by a bunch of conservatives. Fortunately, there are indications that the now more unified and more progressive Democratic caucus in the U.S. Senate, having seen more than enough of the President’s negotiating “skills” in action, isn’t going to rubber-stamp more of this nonsense, like a “Grand Bargain.” Here’s a good interactive website about the realities of the sequester.

 

I’m also adding the following, as it presents a larger-scale view. Idiots don’t ever learn.

 

That leaves the US as the only major economy considering austerity. More to the point, we aren’t considering anything given that austerity was supposed to be such a terrible idea we’d do anything to avoid it. Apparently “anything” didn’t logically involve our politicians working together to do anything. Even places like Italy, where that is less possible, aren’t doing anything as stupid as we are.

 

Nevermind. The point is that the rest of the world has learned from us, over time, that economic stimulus is the only possible way out of this situation. While they flounder to figure out just how they will make that happen in their own systems, our system has broken down completely. It makes no sense at all to anyone anywhere in the world, but there it is.

 

(Barataria)

 

And what do I mean by “idiots?” This!

 

You can read what you like into today’s musical selection. I just like the song.

 

 

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Bachmann: Woman of the Year

by Dan Burns on December 31, 2012

And what a year it was.

For her extraordinary dedication to America’s founding principles and steadfast defense of the Constitution, WND has named Rep. Michele Bachmann 2012 “Woman of the Year”…

WND’s “Woman of the Year” award is presented to the woman who “did the most to represent goodness, womanliness, perseverance and character” and “had an impact on wider American, and global opinion.”

I don’t presume, even for an attosecond, to be qualified to determine what properly constitutes “womanliness.”  Apparently, the knowledgeable folks at WND (“WorldNetDaily”) are not so limited in their understanding.

The depths of delusion and fanaticism displayed on that website are really quite remarkable.  I don’t know what kind of traffic it gets, but I suspect that an estimate of daily “hits” well into the six-figure range, at least, is not unreasonable.  (After all, who wouldn’t want to know what “Walker, Texas Ranger,” who presumably got kicked in the head a lot, back in his karate days, thinks about things?) And it would be a lot higher, if more elderly people used the internet.  Those of us that value knowledge and reason have a lot of work to do, yet, in this country.

(h/t City Pages.)

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Possible vile shenanigans in blue states

by Dan Burns on December 18, 2012

Get a load of this crap.

Reid Wilson at the National Journal has an extended look at a coordinated GOP scheme to rig the electoral college; even though a prominent attempt died on the vine in Pennsylvania last year, Republicans in Washington are organizing efforts in several blue-leaning states to forge ahead once again. As we’ve written before, these plans typically revolve around splitting a state’s electoral votes by congressional district, which of course is wonderful if you’re the GOP and you’ve drawn the state’s congressional map to your liking. For instance, even though Barack Obama won Michigan handily, Republican control over the mapmaking Mitt Romney prevailed in nine of the state’s 14 districts.

Along with Wisconsin, Pennsylvania and Michigan make the most tempting targets because they’re all blue states which (temporarily, we can pray) are completely controlled by Republicans, thanks to the 2010 wipeout.

One of the fundamental lessons of all of human history is that when a certain faction attains the heights of wealth and power, as plutocrats have in contemporary America, they’ll do anything to stay there.  Vote suppression, unlimited election spending…there’s no reason not to expect even worse.  It will only end when conservatism itself is rendered politically, economically, and socially impotent as viable ideology.  That needs to be the goal.

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What’s the deal with anti-Agenda 21 ranting?

by Dan Burns on December 10, 2012

Minnesota State Senator Dave Brown (R-Becker) – for whose opponent, Sally Knox, I had the privilege of voting in November – is apparently still sunk in weird fanaticism regarding some pretty innocuous suggestions from the UN.

Agenda 21 is a non-binding, voluntarily implemented action plan of the United Nations with regard to sustainable development. It is a product of the UN Conference on Environment and Development (UNCED) held in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil, in 1992. It is an action agenda for the UN, other multilateral organizations, and individual governments around the world that can be executed at local, national, and global levels. The “21″ in Agenda 21 refers to the 21st century. It has been affirmed and modified at subsequent UN conferences.

Note:  ”…non-binding, voluntarily implemented…”  But in reality, undoubtedly just cover for a new hippie world order, with brutal penalties for meat eaters and forced urination into reclaimable water toilets like on the space station.

What has me kind of nonplussed, is what on earth conservatives think that they’re accomplishing by targeting Agenda 21 like this.  I’d wager a considerable sum that if I asked the Republicans that I know, few, if any, would have a clue as to what the big deal is.  To get the righties going, you need to give them something really in-your-face – like an African-American, elected and reelected by ACORN, in the White House.  I just don’t see UN-bashing getting the job done, these days.

In other words, if a faction of conservatives, in Minnesota and elsewhere, wants to keep obsessing about this, that’s fine and dandy with me.  Have at it.  

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Those of you betting that “Michele Bachmann’s national influence is over, post-election:” you guys scored big today.

Senator Jim DeMint, a high profile “Teavangelical” hero and ally of Bachmann–announced today that he is retiring. Weird, because: US Senators serve six year terms, and DeMint was just re-elected to a second term two years ago.

With four years remaining in that term and a safely conservative seat to run for again in 2016, DeMint has no obvious personal political motivation to leave the Senate now, immediately. People are giving “official” explanations (discussed below)–but they’re not credible explanations.

So it’s a stunner for a powerful Senate ultraconservative to decide that “this huge budget, tax hike, big government battle”–is the perfect moment to abandon ship and his career-long fight against the liberals.

Conclusion one: DeMint thinks Republicans are about to lose this battle and approve tax hikes. And he’s right; yesterday Speaker Boehner announced that he would approve some tax hikes and they would hit “guess who, the rich.” DeMint doesn’t want to be around when that happens and the Senate approves it–so he’s fleeing the scene.

Conclusion two: Better to flee to a conservative “city of refuge,” than to stick around in office looking impotent and useless, as conservative control of US policy caves in all around you. Thus, DeMint is leaving to take a top spot at the conservative policy gestation laboratory–the Heritage Foundation.

DeMint is “doing a Sarah Palin”–running out on his duties as an elected official before he gets tangled up in any more ‘votes of record.’ If it’s all about their money and career, Palin and DeMint were right to flee. Here’s why:
(CONTINUED)
If you depart office before the tough votes are taken and the policy outcomes are decided–you can sit on the conservative sidelines and criticize the game of Republicans who do have to govern via compromise. Choosing to sit on the sidelines is cowardly, spineless. But a big name conservative can make good money doing that–and keep his or her reputation “as an uncompromising, loud-mouthed conservative” intact.

There’s good precedent for this strategy. Ronald Reagan didn’t get traction as a conservative candidate for president until after he left the governor’s office in California. So long as he was out of office during the seventies, there were no “official” Reagan decisions for opponents to attack. Once Reagan re-entered private life, he was free to pretend to be whatever kind of conservative suited his political ambitions at the moment. He could claim to be hardline conservative when speaking to conservatives, and could deny he was a hardline conservative when he debated Carter–because there were no recent government policy decisions to hold against him.

Ditto Romney in the last election (he could claim to be anything, because he’d been out of government so long.)

Romney and Palin’s fate and reputations show that the strategy doesn’t always work. It’s not fail-safe. It’s just a path of possible political survival for ambitious conservatives faced with liberal times. Stick around in office while liberals are winning to fight a principled fight for small government: you acquire the track record and reputation of a “loser.” But if you leave office and run out on the fight in government when the liberals are winning–you may have a comeback, a shot at being “another Reagan.”

We’re facing liberal times in American government. The economy is positioned for growth, and the Dem White House will get credit for that. Fox News announced that it’s sending Karl Rove and Dick Morris into remission for now. Rubio (proposed as the next savior of the national GOP) just admitted that the earth is about 4.5 billion years old. Gov. Jan Brewer of Arizona just punched a reporter who asked her a question about climate change (Really, that just happened. Google it.)

And Obama’s approval rating just reached a three year high. And Boehner is exiling tea party congressmembers to non-factor committee assignments. And the GOP Congress’ surrender to Obama will cripple current GOP officeholders, making them vulnerable in the next primaries.

But I put Michele Bachmann’s name in the headline of this post. Bachmann and DeMint were political Siamese Twins when it came to the tea party and conservative evangelical positions. It must trouble her to see DeMint deserting a sinking ship. Other Bachmann allies remain in the House, but they’re being marginalized.

She’s in danger of sticking around in office to cast two more years of impotent tea party votes–thus acquiring that “loser” reputation among conservatives that DeMint and Palin manage to duck by leaving office.

So score another one this week, for the political junkies who are convinced that “Bachmann’s over.”

LINK: The Kos on the DeMint resignation…
http://www.dailykos.com/story/…  

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GOP prepares for budget battle fail: executions and exiles

by Bill Prendergast on December 5, 2012

Good omens for Democrats, appearing right now. The outcome of the current D.C. budget battle will determine American domestic policy for the foreseeable future. The GOP leadership seems to be preparing the way for surrender to the White House.

1) Yesterday Speaker John Boehner and the GOP Steering Committee ordered the secret executions of some of the most conservative members in Congress (transferring these members from influential committees to non-factor assignments.) Most GOP congressmembers weren’t even informed of the executions until after they took place.

2) The Tea Party movement is also conducting a purge. Yesterday Dick Armey announced his resignation from Freedomworks, a key tea party organization that he’s been leading for years.

Freedomworks was critical to organizing and promoting the tea party as national movement. Former GOP House Majority Leader Armey was not only its leader; he was the tea party pipeline to senior Republicans in Congress.

In fact, Armey’s establishment Republican presence in the Tea Party and Freedomworks was often a problem. It was never clear whether Armey was herding establishment Republicans to benefit the Tea Party, or herding the Tea Party to benefit establishment Republicans.

But now he’s been purged, and that’s a good omen for Democrats…
(CONTINUED)  
…because Armey’s departure is a sign that the Tea Party is more marginal in DC politics. (And Armey has absolutely soaked them for millions of dollars, with his greedhead retirement package.) Armey’s loyalists at Freedomworks were also purged.

3) Another good omen: This week Grover Norquist’s message changed. Two weeks ago Norquist was all over the headlines telling America “no Republicans are going to cave” on his no-new-taxes pledge. But this week he’s got an entirely different message: threatening all the Republicans who are in fact caving. Norquist is promising a “Tea Party 2.0″ that will rise and punish the traitors.

Thus: if there is a “next” version of the Tea Party coming up–it will be even angrier! Because if it’s not under the control of the Republican establishment, and really challenges them: it won’t receive as much funding, organizational resources, or free media. That will make the next version of the tea party absolutely rabid.

4) Threats of political reprisal from Norquist, the Tea Party, and conservatives? Honey badger don’t care, says John Boehner. He can cave to the Dems–again, publicly–and retain the leadership.

Columnist Greg Sargent at WaPo points out: last time around, Boehner took the Tea Party and conservative line and vowed that Republicans would not cave to Dems on extending the payroll tax cut.

But they did! And Boehner’s still at the top of the Republican Congress, after breaking his vow. He’s no Richard Lugar. So the theory is that he can hand the Dems another win here–and survive.

5) At Time Magazine, Michael Grunwald says that Republicans are “full of it,” they’ve been “full of it” for years–and it’s time for straight news reporting media to stop pretending that they’re not.

It’s irresponsible reporting. Mainstream media outlets don’t want to look partisan, so they ignore the BS hidden in plain sight, the hypocrisy and dishonesty that defines the modern Republican Party…
…we’re not supposed to be stenographers. As long as the media let an entire political party invent a new reality every day, it will keep on doing it. Every day.

Yeah: we say that here, every day. Grunwald gives lots of examples of Republicans and conservative “inventing new realities, every day.” But what should mainstream media editors and reporters be doing?

Grunwald thinks it would be nice if the press would weave the facts about Republican “reality flip-flops” into their straight news reporting. That would be nice for the public, if the press stopped pretending that their latest BS differed from their immediately preceding BS.

The “fiscal cliff” stuff is just the latest example of a press fail. That’s a good omen, that someone at Time magazine is pointing that out.

LINKS:
Boehner purges conservatives:
http://www.rollcall.com/news/g…

Dick Armey out of Freedomworks:
http://www.washingtonpost.com/…

WaPo says Boehner can cave to Obama without personal consequences:
http://www.washingtonpost.com/…

Grunwald: GOP’s full of it; report that
http://swampland.time.com/2012…

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I don’t know about you, but I’m getting kind of sick of reading stuff like this, the last two weeks. (The emphasis in bold is mine):

Despair has led many Republicans to question their earlier confidence that America is a “center-right country.” … What the country does not have is a center-right party that explains how to act on these (conservative) impulses to improve the national condition.– Ramesh Ponnuru, Senior Editor of the National Review.

“I feel very comfortable with where the Republican leaders are right now…We should be much more confident. We should emphasize growth and do a better job spreading the message to all voters. — Grover Norquist, the “no new taxes pledge” guy, 11/23/12

If Republicans want to stop taking losing positions on issues, they need to find a way to downplay those things they believe strongly in despite their unpopularity and to give up those things they don’t really care about– Greg Sargent, Washington Post columnist, 11/23/12

See what they’re saying? The problem is not with the right’s political beliefs or agenda. All the Republicans and conservatives have to do to come back is: do “a better job of explaining,” “a better job of explaining the message,” of “downplaying the things they believe in strongly(!),”
(CONTINUED)
Got that? And I only gave you three examples. I’ve been reading day after day of stuff like that from political columnists, conservatives, and Republicans–for weeks now. Rush Limbaugh, Laura Ingraham, Rick Santorum (Santorum said the problem Republicans had this election was that Americans didn’t want to “buy the box” conservatism came in. Seriously, he said that.)

You see: the election results and demographic trends mean that media conservatives, the Christian Right, and the teabaggers can no longer argue that they are the ones who really represent “the American people.” Republicans can’t even argue that America’s actually a “center-right” country, any more.

Those are the new premises that Republican leaders and conservative experts seem to agree on, post-repudiation. Most of them also agree about the proposed cure.

And their proposed cure is not to change the conservative agenda to catch up with reality. Rather than change (or even moderate!) the program of the right: the conservative and media experts are trying to convince their audiences that the way for Republicans to return to national prominence is explain better, spread the message better, get a new “box”–and at the same time downplay what they actually believe.

“Brother conservatives! From now on, the GOP agenda will be a secret agenda! No more Republican primary debates where voters are offered a choice of eight liars and loonies all trying to out-kook each other! No more telling people you think that Rush Limbaugh is a great American!”

“Conservatives, stifle your real opinions and stop shouting “let him die!” when the talk turns to health care! Despise the majority of your countrymen, but do so in secret–our very survival depends on it!”

 

Conservative leaders and mainstream media spent the first part of this year making wildly inaccurate predictions about the demise of the Obama administration. Then they spent much of this year promoting wildly inaccurate polling about the preferences of Americans. And now conservative leaders and mainstream media will spend the remainder of this year: making wildly inaccurate statements about how to save the Republican Party from national irrelevancy.

So let’s ignore them for a second and get back to reality. If the GOP fails to reform and dries up and marginalizes into regional obscurity this very week: nobody outside the ranks of the regular GOP would miss it at all. The country would go on just fine without a GOP: and a new “anti-tax” party–theoretically opposed to liberalism but more moderate in agenda–would be created out of its ashes within that same week.

We know that because America’s seen the demise of major political parties before. We’ve seen it happen more than once: when a major American party loses its relevance to the policy debate and sufficient popular support, it becomes extinct. And a new party (which often includes some of the leaders and backers of the old, now-extinct party) takes its place. This is in fact how the Republican Party was born, prior to the Civil War.

So the problem is not that America will become a “one party” state if the GOP really does go the way of the dinosaur. A one-party America won’t happen; there will always be enough eager billionaires, multi-millionaires and angry cranks to form and fund an effective opposition party.

The real problem is merely a career problem, and that career problem affects only a tiny minority of Americans. The people who have a personal stake in selling paranoid right wing politics to Americans…will lose their power, money and careers if the Republican Party changes its right wing agenda in order to stay politically relevant.    

National conservative pundits, broadcasters, authors, “scholars,” “experts,” activists…they’re gone, if the GOP adopts a relevant agenda in order to stay politically relevant. How about all those Republican politicians who mouth conservative rhetoric in order to win or keep office? If the GOP does moderate–those guys become strictly regional, no significant influence except at the margins, and no chance at all of appointment to national leadership.

It’s the people who’ve made their careers spouting the right wing agenda who’d be finished nationally–if the GOP moderates its current right wing agenda. That’s why those same opportunists and liars are sweating right now, telling everyone who’ll listen: “It’s not the right wing agenda! Really! Americans actually love our right wing agenda! All we gotta do is “fine tune” the message a little–a new “box!” No! Don’t replace us with a new set of propagandists! PLEASE!”    

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From the Washington Post, last night:

After nearly two weeks of listening to GOP officials pledge to assert greater control over the party and its most strident voices in the wake of Romney’s loss, grass-roots activists have begun to fight back, saying that they are not to blame for the party’s losses in November.

“The moderates have had their candidate in 2008 and they had their candidate in 2012. And they got crushed in both elections. Now they tell us we have to keep moderating. If we do that, will we win?” said Bob Vander Plaats, president of the Family Leader.

(Vander Plaats is an influential conservative evangelical leader and Republican politician. He wrote a political pledge asserting that African-American families were better off during the era of slavery. Republican presidential candidates Michele Bachmann and Rick Santorum both signed that pledge.)

When the Christian Right “moderates” (softens its ultraconservative political positions)–that’s when it will become okay for the Republican Party to “moderate,” to try and bring more voters into its incredibly shrinking demographic. But according to the Christian Right: it’s the voices of moderation and tolerance who are the villains.
(CONTINUED)
From a different story today, at NBC Politics:

To hear some conservative leaders tell their story, Romney erred in refusing to engage social issues forcefully enough. When the president endorsed same-sex marriage, Romney largely demurred; the GOP nominee largely left bread-and-butter social issues out of his stump speech, focusing almost exclusively on the economy – the top issue for voters.

“I think, clearly, the Republican Party didn’t win on the issue on which it invested a billion dollars,” said Marjorie Dannenfelser, the president of the Susan B. Anthony list, a women’s anti-abortion group. (Note: Susan B. Anthony list–big, very big tool of the Christian Right. Huge Bachmann supporters.)

(Dannenfelser) argued, too, that it’s difficult to blame the GOP’s social conservatism for four losses among House Republicans who support abortion rights…

More from the Washington Post:

The conservative backlash sets up an internal fight for the direction of the Republican Party…

(“Sets up” an internal fight? That “internal fight” for control of the direction of the Republican Party has been going on for more than twenty years. And the Christian Right has been winning that fight: making the difference in electing Bush to a second term, co-opting the tea party, steadily driving the GOP further and further to the right.)

(Anyway:)

The conservative backlash sets up an internal fight for the direction of the Republican Party as many top leaders in Washington have proposed moderating their views on citizenship for illegal immigrants, to appeal to Latino voters. In addition, many top GOP officials have called for softening the party’s rhetoric on social issues, following the embarrassing showing by Senate candidates who were routed after publicly musing about denying abortion services to women who had been raped.

Yeah, Akin and Mourdock lost big. Michele Bachmann also would deny abortion services for women who’ve been raped. She won–but by less than 2% in a district that favors Republicans by 7+ points.

No matter, according to the Christian Right and the tea party. It’s not their fault that the GOP lost so big this year. It’s the fault of “moderates” like…Mitt Romney! The guy they were all endorsing for president just a few weeks ago! Conservative evangelicals have flipped their propaganda on him from “designated savior of America” to “moderating villain who ruined us all.”

In a post-election heartbeat, the Christian Right snaps right back to its pre-Romney position: “GOP moderates are villains.” That’s how fast their leaders can flip-flop, when it comes to saving its leaders’ political skins.  Because if the current leaders of Christian Right went along with post-election calls to moderate the GOP–those guys would be cooked; done.

If the leaders of the Christian Right moderate and broaden their views–they lose their white paranoid base. That would lead to loss of a lot of money in donations, a lot of their political control over regional voting in conservative districts.

So the leaders of the Christian Right don’t care if sticking with their ultraconservative, “transvaginal probe” program continues to cost the GOP national control in the future. Yes, the tea party and the Christian Right lost some high profile contests in this election. But their ultraconservative candidates continue to hold and win political office; they continue to beat more mainstream Republicans in nomination contests.

And they know that they can continue to do that, simply by running to the right of more “moderate,” inclusive Republicans. Why would the Christian Right and ultraconservatives care about winning national control–when moderating would drive away their base and cost them regional control they now enjoy?  

These guys are running their own party, with its own candidates and its own extremist agenda. Their political influence depends on offering that extremist agenda. They’ve reached the stage where establishment Republicans need them and their voters–more than they need the establishment Republicans.

They don’t care that this situation might kill the GOP’s current and long range prospects. So for now, their answer to Republicans calling for moderation is: “Moderate, my a**.”

LINK: Washington Post:
http://www.washingtonpost.com/…

LINK: Vander Plaats and slavery.
http://www.salon.com/2012/10/1…

LINK: NBC news.
http://nbcpolitics.nbcnews.com…

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Conservatives at a Dead End?

by SJGulitti on November 7, 2012

Election day has finally arrived and to true conservatives the final outcome will probably be nothing more than a mixed blessing at best. First and foremost Mitt Romney is hardly a rock ribbed conservative, not if you base your assessment of him on his political track record. He has migrated politically from a Northeastern liberal Republican to a faux “severe conservative” and then back to the center as the political winds have necessitated. Just look at his political maneuvering in the post primary run up to today. He may have disavowed the “Etch-a-Sketch” comments of Eric Fehnstrom but he has surely followed just that strategy, even to the point of largely agreeing with the foreign policies of Barack Obama as evidenced in the third presidential debate. In short there’s little reason to believe that Mitt Romney is anything but a shrewd political charlatan.

For conservatives whatever happens tonight there will still be several nagging questions to address. For one, what became of the “conservative counterrevolution of 2010″? In the wake of the widespread Republican by-election victories we were treated to all manner of editorials and op-eds, both written and on talk radio and Fox News about how America had seen through and rejected the “Socialism” of Barack Obama, returning to a more conservative political mindset. I however always believed that 2010 represented more of a protest vote than anything significant in the way of a fundamental shift in the political paradigm. Support for the notion that 2010 amounts to a protest vote rather than a fundamental shift in the American political landscape can be seen in the decline in popularity of the Tea Party Movement, the increased frustration on the part of the public with Republican Party obstruction in Congress and the increasing numbers of Republicans who have distanced themselves from Grover Norquist’s no tax pledge. Neither does Norquist’s idea that “all that we need is a Republican president with enough digits to sign what’s put before him” appear to resonate very well with the voting public. While more people identify as conservatives than identify as liberals, the net number of those who identify as conservatives is roughly around one third of the American public. If conservative thoughts had really taken hold you would see the numbers of people identifying as conservatives being north of 50% and the presidential race would look a lot different than it does today. Likewise the conservative attacks on Obama’s handling of the economy and posture as a world leader have failed to register with a majority of Americans. If they had Mitt Romney would be ahead by at least 6 to 10 percentage points rather than trailing within the statistical margin of error.

The myth that America is a “center right country” has been faithfully kept alive in the warrens of conservative media but as the polling numbers show on the day of the election, there’s no reason to believe that that idea has anymore validity today than in did in 2008 when Dick Morris claimed the same thing on the weekend before the election saying that: “Republicans were coming home and John McCain would win the election.” If there was anything in the way of a true conservative counterrevolution then where were the true conservative leaders during the Republican primary process? Out of the length and breadth of the conservative movement not a single viable candidate arose to challenge Barack Obama, instead Mitt Romney merely waited out the self destruction of one flawed conservative challenger after another till he was the last man standing. Quoting political commentator Steve Bogden: “Normally, you have a competitive primary. This year, it was an ongoing audition for whoever was going to be the anti-Romney. Almost everybody had their surge, but there were no credible challengers. Cain? Ging­rich? Santorum? Romney didn’t have to ‘win’ this year. He just waited for everyone else to lose.”

If Mitt Romney is lucky enough to win tonight it will be a squeaker and being the shrewd politician that he is he will continue to drift around the center no matter the tone of his rehtoric. He’ll have no other choice if he hopes to be reelected in 2016 and that bodes ill for conservatives who will be hoping that he pushes their agenda forward. I seriously doubt that Romney would ever subscribe to Grover Norquist’s notion that he should be a rubber stamp for a Tea Party Congress. I doubt that Romney sees Norquist and his anti-tax movement as anything more than a political sideshow to the big show of governing. If Barack Obama is lucky enough to win this evening I fully expect to see the usual crisis of confidence reemerge among conservatives when they beat each other up over the idea that “every time we nominate a candidate who moves to the center we lose.” The great irony of this debate is that if they did nominate a far right conservative, and why didn’t they, they would lose anyway. Like the Romney-Ryan economic plan the math just doesn’t add up for conservatives. For all of the bluff and bluster that one hears on Fox, Limbaugh, and across the entire spectrum of right-wing media about the American people being fundamentally conservative it just ain’t so. If it were true we wouldn’t be in essentially a dead heat and Romney would be way out in front. However in spite of four years of a visceral anti-Obama diatribe on the right, a lackluster economy and a threatening world scene there just aren’t enough conservative votes out there to make it happen.

Steven J. Gulitti
11/6/12
 

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When Romney loses, it won’t be because he was too moderate

by Jeff Rosenberg on September 29, 2012

Barring a major game-changer, Mitt Romney looks like he’s toast. Obama has a comfortable lead in nearly every poll, Romney is still desperately casting about for a campaign theme, and early voting has already begun in many states. What’s perhaps even more telling is that Republicans both inside and outside the Romney campaign have started either playing the blame game or trying to come to grips with what a Romney loss means for the party.

Conservatives, who now enjoy nearly absolute control over the party, are ready with an answer: Blame party leaders who pushed  for “moderate” Mitt Romney. The problem, they insist, is that Romney isn’t conservative enough. His defeat will be proof that the Republican party needs to move even farther to the right.

I’d love to believe that an Obama victory, along with Democratic gains in the House and Senate, would make the Republican Party stop for a moment and question whether it’s wise to let the conservatives continue to lead the party ever further rightward. Unfortunately, that seems unlikely. Nevertheless, as Republicans sink into a spiral of self-recrimination, I’d like to ask them to look at the actual evidence. The fact is, it’s arch-conservatives who are holding your party back. After the break, we’ll look at a bit of evidence.
Let’s start with Romney. Yes, at one time, he was a moderate. However, he’s spent the last 10 years reshaping himself into a “severe conservative.” Furthermore, he signaled his commitment to a hardline right-wing agenda when he selected Paul Ryan as his running mate. There’s some evidence that Ryan and his unpopular budget plans are doing a lot of damage to the Romney campaign:

Back in late August, Obama led Romney on the question of who would handle Medicare better by 8 points in Florida and 10 points in Ohio; now he’s up 15 in Florida and 16 in Ohio. And the problems are especially acute among senior citizens, a group Obama has traditionally struggled with. A month ago, Obama was down 13 points in Florida among people 65 and older; today he’s up 4. On the specific question of Medicare, Obama was down 4 points among Florida seniors in August; today he’s up 5 points.

But I’ll give you that Romney is somewhat more moderate than some of the folks you’re running for office. That seems like a pretty good test, then. Are Tea Party Republicans doing better than Romney? If so, that would be good evidence that the GOP really needs to move farther to the right. Let’s take a look.

A new Howey/DePauw poll in Indiana shows Rep. Joe Donnelly (D) with a small lead over Richard Mourdock (R), 40% to 38%, with Libertarian candidate Andrew Horning getting 7% support.

The presidential race isn’t nearly as close with Mitt Romney ahead of President Obama by double-digits, 52% to 40%. (Political Wire)

This particular poll caught my eye because Mourdock was one of the Tea Party’s shining stars earlier this year, ousting longtime Senator Richard Lugar (R-IN). Now it looks like Mourdock’s primary victory could cost the GOP that seat.

But it’s not just Mourdock. For example, there’s the infamous Todd Akin, and our own Kurt Bills — staunch conservatives who are seriously trailing Romney. If it were true that the answer were to move farther to the right, they should be outperforming Romney.

None of this will convince the far-right, I’m sure. And that’s just fine. I’d prefer to see them come back to reality, but I’m also happy to watch them continue their rapid descent into the fever swamps. Regardless of whether the Republicans return to reality or lurch so far to the right that they make themselves unelectable, the result will be the same — we won’t have crazies in positions of power for much longer.

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